Mathematical Modelling of Infectiuos Desease-Basic SVIR model
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Mathematical Modeling of Infectious Diseases:
Basic SVIR Model
By
Ms. Fatimah Ibrahim ALAqsam
0745311
Under the Supervision of
Dr. Hanan Ali Batarfi
Abstract
Mathematical models of epidemics have a long history of contributing to the understanding of the
impact of vaccination programs. Simple, one-line models can predict target vaccination coverage that
will eradicate an infectious agent, whilst other questions require complex simulations of stochastic
processes in space and time. This project introduces a simple ordinary differential equation (ODE)
model of mass vaccination that can be used to address important questions about the predicted
impact of vaccination programs. The model discussed is the SVIR model where we show how to
calculate the threshold vaccination coverage rate that will eradicate an infection. The impact of
vaccination is also introduced.
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